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Reliability and variance-based sensitivity analysis of arch dams during construction and reservoir impoundment

M. Houshmand KHANEGHAHI, M. ALEMBAGHERI, N. SOLTANI

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2019年 第13卷 第3期   页码 526-541 doi: 10.1007/s11709-018-0495-1

摘要： The static performance of arch dams during construction and reservoir impoundment is assessed taking into account the effects of uncertainties presented in the model properties as well as the loading conditions. Dez arch dam is chosen as the case study; it is modeled along with its rock foundation using the finite element method considering the stage construction. Since previous studies concentrated on simplified models and approaches, comprehensive study of the arch dam model along with efficient and state-of-the-art uncertainty methods are incorporated in this investigation. The reliability method is performed to assess the safety level and the sensitivity analyses for identifying critical input factors and their interaction effects on the response of the dam. Global sensitivity analysis based on improved Latin hypercube sampling is employed in this study to indicate the influence of each random variable and their interaction on variance of the responses. Four levels of model advancement are considered for the dam-foundation system: 1) Monolithic dam without any joint founded on the homogeneous rock foundation, 2) monolithic dam founded on the inhomogeneous foundation including soft rock layers, 3) jointed dam including the peripheral and contraction joints founded on the homogeneous foundation, and 4) jointed dam founded on the inhomogeneous foundation. For each model, proper performance indices are defined through limit-state functions. In this manner, the effects of input parameters in each performance level of the dam are investigated. The outcome of this study is defining the importance of input factors in each stage and model based on the variance of the dam response. Moreover, the results of sampling are computed in order to assess the safety level of the dam in miscellaneous loading and modeling conditions.

关键词： concrete arch dams     reliability     randomness     improved Latin hypercube sampling     variance-based sensitivity analysis     exceedance probability     Sobol′ index    

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Probability strength design of steam turbine blade and sensitivity analysis with respect to random parametersbased on response surface method

DUAN Wei

《能源前沿（英文）》 2008年 第2卷 第1期   页码 107-115 doi: 10.1007/s11708-008-0018-1

摘要： Many stochastic parameters have an effect on the reliability of a steam turbine blade during practical operation. To improve the reliability of blade design, it is necessary to take these stochastic parameters into account. An equal cross-section blade is investigated and a finite element model is built parametrically. Geometrical parameters, material parameters and load parameters of the blade are considered as input random variables while the maximum deflection and maximum equivalent stress are output random variables. Analysis file of the blade is compiled by deterministic finite element method and applied to be loop file to create sample points. A quadratic polynomial with cross terms is chosen to regress these samples by step-forward regression method and employed as a surrogate of numerical solver to drastically reduce the number of solvers call. Then, Monte Carlo method is used to obtain the statistical characteristics and cumulative distribution function of the maximum deflection and maximum equivalent stress of the blade. Probability sensitivity analysis, which combines the slope of the gradient and the width of the scatter range of the random input variables, is applied to evaluate how much the output parameters are influenced by the random input parameters. The scatter plots of structural responses with respect to the random input variables are illustrated to analyze how to change the input random variables to improve the reliability of the blade. The results show that combination of the finite element method, the response surface method and Monte Carlo method is an ideal way for the reliability analysis and probability strength design of the blade.

关键词： Probability sensitivity     sensitivity analysis     number     cross-section     statistical    

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The adoption of repeated measurement of variance analysis and Shapiro–Wilk test

《医学前沿（英文）》 2022年 第16卷 第4期   页码 659-660 doi: 10.1007/s11684-021-0908-8

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Kinetic energy based model assessment and sensitivity analysis of vortex induced vibration of segmental

Nazim Abdul NARIMAN

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2017年 第11卷 第4期   页码 480-501 doi: 10.1007/s11709-017-0435-5

摘要： In this paper, semi 3D models for segmental Bridge decks are created in ABAQUS CFD program with the support of MATLAB codes to simulate and analyze vortex shedding generated due to wind excitation through considering the stationary position of the deck. Three parameters (wind speed, deck streamlined length and dynamic viscosity of the air) are dedicated to study their effects on the kinetic energy of the system in addition to the shapes and patterns of the vortices. Two benchmarks from the literature Von Karman and Dyrbye and Hansen are considered to validate the vortex shedding aspects for the CFD models. Good agreement between the results of the benchmarks and the semi 3D models has been detected. Latin hypercube experimental method is dedicated to generate the surrogate models for the kinetic energy of the system and the lift forces. Variance based sensitivity analysis is utilized to calculate the main sensitivity indices and the interaction orders for all the three parameters. The kinetic energy approach performed very well in revealing the rational effects and the roles of each parameter in the generation of vortex shedding and predicting vortex induced vibration of the deck.

关键词： vortex induced vibration     reynolds number     kinetic energy     vorticity     latin hypercube sampling    

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Answer for questions of repeated measurements of variance analysis and distribution test of data — Authors

《医学前沿（英文）》 2022年 第16卷 第4期   页码 661-664 doi: 10.1007/s11684-021-0907-9

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Parametric sensitivity analysis of cellular diaphragm wall

Xi CHEN, Wei XU

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2012年 第6卷 第4期   页码 358-364 doi: 10.1007/s11709-012-0177-3

摘要： The deformation law of the cellular diaphragm wall in deep foundation pits was studied through numerical simulation. Based on the example of the dock wall in engineering, the full three-dimensional finite element model was used to simulate the excavation of the foundation pit. Interaction between the cellular diaphragm wall and the soil was also taken into account in the calculation. The results indicated that the maximum lateral displacement, which is the evaluation index of sensitivity analysis, appeared on the top of the interior longitudinal wall with an excavation depth of 10 m. The centrifuge model test was carried out to study the deformation regulation for a cellular diaphragm wall. The most sensitive factor was found by adjusting the length of the partition wall, the spacing of the partition wall and the thickness of the wall. In the end, a suggestion was proposed to optimize the cellular diaphragm by adjusting the length of the partition wall.

关键词： cellular diaphragm wall     sensitivity analysis     optimization     centrifuge model test    

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Massively efficient filter for topology optimization based on the splitting of tensor product structure

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2022年 第17卷 第4期 doi: 10.1007/s11465-022-0710-6

摘要： In this work, we put forward a massively efficient filter for topology optimization (TO) utilizing the splitting of tensor product structure. With the aid of splitting technique, the traditional weight matrices of B-splines and non-uniform rational B-spline implicit filters are decomposed equivalently into two or three submatrices, by which the sensitivity analysis is reformulated for the nodal design variables without altering the optimization process. Afterwards, an explicit sensitivity filter, which is decomposed by the splitting pipeline as that applied to implicit filter, is established in terms of the tensor product of the axial distances between adjacent element centroids, and the corresponding sensitivity analysis is derived for elemental design variables. According to the numerical results, the average updating time for the design variables is accelerated by two-order-of-magnitude for the decomposed filter compared with the traditional filter. In addition, the memory burden and computing time of the weight matrix are decreased by six- and three-order-of-magnitude for the decomposed filter. Therefore, the proposed filter is massively improved by the splitting of tensor product structure and delivers a much more efficient way of solving TO problems in the frameworks of isogeometric analysis and finite element analysis.

关键词： topology optimization     isogeometric analysis     finite element analysis     tensor product structure     sensitivity analysis    

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Risk-based probabilistic thermal-stress analysis of concrete arch dams

Narjes SOLTANI, Mohammad ALEMBAGHERI, Mohammad Houshmand KHANEGHAHI

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2019年 第13卷 第5期   页码 1007-1019 doi: 10.1007/s11709-019-0521-y

摘要： The probabilistic risk of arch dam failure under thermal loading is studied. The incorporated uncertainties, which are defined as random variables, are associated with the most affecting structural (material) properties of concrete and thermal loading conditions. Karaj arch dam is selected as case study. The dam is numerically modeled along with its foundation in three-dimensional space; the temperature and thermal stress distribution is investigated during the operating phase. The deterministic thermal finite element analysis of the dam is combined with the structural reliability methods in order to obtain thermal response predictions, and estimate the probability of failure in the risk analysis context. The tensile overstressing failure mode is considered for the reliability analysis. The thermal loading includes ambient air and reservoir temperature variations. The effect of solar radiation is considered by an increase in the ambient temperatures. Three reliability methods are employed: the first-order second-moment method, the first-order reliability method, and the Monte-Carlo simulation with Latin Hypercube sampling. The estimated failure probabilities are discussed and the sensitivity of random variables is investigated. Although most of the studies in this line of research are used only for academic purposes, the results of this investigation can be used for both academic and engineering purposes.

关键词： arch dams     probabilistic analysis     thermal stress     sensitivity     reliability    

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Reliability-based robust design optimization of vehicle components, Part I: Theory

Yimin ZHANG

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2015年 第10卷 第2期   页码 138-144 doi: 10.1007/s11465-015-0333-2

摘要：

The reliability-based design optimization, the reliability sensitivity analysis and robust design method are employed to present a practical and effective approach for reliability-based robust design optimization of vehicle components. A procedure for reliability-based robust design optimization of vehicle components is proposed. Application of the method is illustrated by reliability-based robust design optimization of axle and spring. Numerical results have shown that the proposed method can be trusted to perform reliability-based robust design optimization of vehicle components.

关键词： vehicle components     reliability-based design optimization     reliability-based sensitivity analysis     multi-objective optimization     robust design    

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Catalytic process modeling and sensitivity analysis of alkylation of benzene with ethanol over MIL-101

Ehsan Rahmani, Mohammad Rahmani

《化学科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2020年 第14卷 第6期   页码 1100-1111 doi: 10.1007/s11705-019-1891-3

摘要： A solvothermal method was used to synthesize MIL-101(Fe) and MIL-88(Fe), which were used for alkylation of benzene. The synthesized catalysts were characterized by X-ray diffraction, Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy, field emission scanning electron microscope, dynamic light scattering, and BET techniques. Metal-organic frameworks (MOFs) were modeled to investigate the catalytic performance and existence of mass transfer limitations. Calculated effectiveness factors revealed absence of internal and external mass transfer. Sensitivity analysis revealed best operating conditions over MIL-101 at 120°C and 5 bar and over MIL-88 at 142°C and 9 bar.

关键词： MOFs     alkylation     ethylbenzene     catalysts pellet model     kinetic model     sensitivity analysis    

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Reliability-based robust design optimization of vehicle components, Part II: Case studies

Yimin ZHANG

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2015年 第10卷 第2期   页码 145-153 doi: 10.1007/s11465-015-0334-1

摘要：

The reliability-based optimization, the reliability-based sensitivity analysis and robust design method are employed to propose an effective approach for reliability-based robust design optimization of vehicle components in Part I. Applications of the method are further discussed for reliability-based robust optimization of vehicle components in this paper. Examples of axles,torsion bar, coil and composite springs are illustrated for numerical investigations. Results have shown the proposed method is an efficient method for reliability-based robust design optimization of vehicle components.

关键词： vehicle axles and springs     reliability-based design optimization     reliability-based sensitivity analysis     multi-objective optimization     robust design    

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Global sensitivity analysis of certain and uncertain factors for a circular tunnel under seismic action

Nazim Abdul NARIMAN, Raja Rizwan HUSSAIN, Ilham Ibrahim MOHAMMAD, Peyman KARAMPOUR

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2019年 第13卷 第6期   页码 1289-1300 doi: 10.1007/s11709-019-0548-0

摘要： There are many certain and uncertain design factors which have unrevealed rational effects on the generation of tensile damage and the stability of the circular tunnels during seismic actions. In this research paper, we have dedicated three certain and four uncertain design factors to quantify their rational effects using numerical simulations and the Sobol’s sensitivity indices. Main effects and interaction effects between the design factors have been determined supporting on variance-based global sensitivity analysis. The results detected that the concrete modulus of elasticity for the tunnel lining has the greatest effect on the tensile damage generation in the tunnel lining during the seismic action. In the other direction, the interactions between the concrete density and both of concrete modulus of elasticity and tunnel diameter have appreciable effects on the tensile damage. Furthermore, the tunnel diameter has the deciding effect on the stability of the tunnel structure. While the interaction between the tunnel diameter and concrete density has appreciable effect on the stability process. It is worthy to mention that Sobol’s sensitivity indices manifested strong efficiency in detecting the roles of each design factor in cooperation with the numerical simulations explaining the responses of the circular tunnel during seismic actions.

关键词： shear waves     Sobol’s sensitivity indices     maximum principal stress     maximum overall displacement     tensile damage    

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Predicting lateral displacement caused by seismic liquefaction and performing parametric sensitivityanalysis: Considering cumulative absolute velocity and fine content

Nima PIRHADI, Xiaowei TANG, Qing YANG, Afshin ASADI, Hazem Samih MOHAMED

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2021年 第15卷 第2期   页码 506-519 doi: 10.1007/s11709-021-0677-0

摘要： Lateral displacement due to liquefaction ( ) is the most destructive effect of earthquakes in saturated loose or semi-loose sandy soil. Among all earthquake parameters, the standardized cumulative absolute velocity ( ) exhibits the largest correlation with increasing pore water pressure and liquefaction. Furthermore, the complex effect o fine content( ) at different values has been studied and demonstrated. Nevertheless, these two contexts have not been entered into empirical and semi-empirical models to predict This study bridges this gap by adding to the data set and developing two artificial neural network (ANN) models. The first model is based on the entire range of the parameters, whereas the second model is based on the samples with values that are less than the 28% critical value. The results demonstrate the higher accuracy of the second model that is developed even with less data. Additionally, according to the uncertainties in the geotechnical and earthquake parameters, sensitivity analysis was performed via Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) using the second developed ANN model that exhibited higher accuracy. The results demonstrated the significant influence of the uncertainties of earthquake parameters on predicting

关键词： lateral spreading displacement     cumulative absolute velocity     fine content     artificial neural network     sensitivity analysis     Monte Carlo simulation    

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Sensitivity analysis of the deterioration of concrete strength in marine environment to multiple corrosive

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2023年 第17卷 第2期   页码 175-190 doi: 10.1007/s11709-021-0791-z

摘要： The corrosion degradation behavior of concrete materials plays a crucial role in the change of its mechanical properties under multi-ion interaction in the marine environment. In this study, the variation in the macro-physical and mechanical properties of concrete with corrosion time is investigated, and the source of micro-corrosion products under different salt solutions in seawater are analyzed. Regardless of the continuous hydration effect of concrete, the damage effects of various corrosive ions (Cl–, SO42−, and Mg2+, etc.) on the tensile and compressive strength of concrete are discussed based on measurement in different salt solutions. The sensitivity analysis method for concrete strength is used to quantitatively analyze the sensitivity of concrete strength to the effects of each ion in a multi-salt solution without considering the influence of continued hydration. The quantitative results indicate that the addition of Cl– can weaken the corrosion effect of SO42− by about 20%, while the addition of Mg2+ or Mg2+ and Cl– can strengthen it by 10%–20% during a 600-d corrosion process.

关键词： sensitivity analysis     concrete strength     corrosion deterioration     multi-ion interaction     marine environment    

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Novel decoupled framework for reliability-based design optimization of structures using a robust shifting

Mohammad Reza GHASEMI, Charles V. CAMP, Babak DIZANGIAN

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2019年 第13卷 第4期   页码 800-820 doi: 10.1007/s11709-019-0517-7

摘要： In a reliability-based design optimization (RBDO), computation of the failure probability ( ) at all design points through the process may suitably be avoided at the early stages. Thus, to reduce extensive computations of RBDO, one could decouple the optimization and reliability analysis. The present work proposes a new methodology for such a decoupled approach that separates optimization and reliability analysis into two procedures which significantly improve the computational efficiency of the RBDO. This technique is based on the probabilistic sensitivity approach (PSA) on the shifted probability density function. Stochastic variables are separated into two groups of desired and non-desired variables. The three-phase procedure may be summarized as: Phase 1, apply deterministic design optimization based on mean values of random variables; Phase 2, move designs toward a reliable space using PSA and finding a primary reliable optimum point; Phase 3, applying an intelligent self-adaptive procedure based on cubic B-spline interpolation functions until the targeted failure probability is reached. An improved response surface method is used for computation of failure probability. The proposed RBDO approach could significantly reduce the number of analyses required to less than 10% of conventional methods. The computational efficacy of this approach is demonstrated by solving four benchmark truss design problems published in the structural optimization literature.

关键词： reliability-based design optimization     trusses     sensitivity analysis     shifting technique     cubic B-splines     response surface method    

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标题 作者 时间 类型 操作

Reliability and variance-based sensitivity analysis of arch dams during construction and reservoir impoundment

M. Houshmand KHANEGHAHI, M. ALEMBAGHERI, N. SOLTANI

期刊论文

Probability strength design of steam turbine blade and sensitivity analysis with respect to random parametersbased on response surface method

DUAN Wei

期刊论文

The adoption of repeated measurement of variance analysis and Shapiro–Wilk test

期刊论文

Kinetic energy based model assessment and sensitivity analysis of vortex induced vibration of segmental

Nazim Abdul NARIMAN

期刊论文

Answer for questions of repeated measurements of variance analysis and distribution test of data — Authors

期刊论文

Parametric sensitivity analysis of cellular diaphragm wall

Xi CHEN, Wei XU

期刊论文

Massively efficient filter for topology optimization based on the splitting of tensor product structure

期刊论文

Risk-based probabilistic thermal-stress analysis of concrete arch dams

Narjes SOLTANI, Mohammad ALEMBAGHERI, Mohammad Houshmand KHANEGHAHI

期刊论文

Reliability-based robust design optimization of vehicle components, Part I: Theory

Yimin ZHANG

期刊论文

Catalytic process modeling and sensitivity analysis of alkylation of benzene with ethanol over MIL-101

Ehsan Rahmani, Mohammad Rahmani

期刊论文

Reliability-based robust design optimization of vehicle components, Part II: Case studies

Yimin ZHANG

期刊论文

Global sensitivity analysis of certain and uncertain factors for a circular tunnel under seismic action

Nazim Abdul NARIMAN, Raja Rizwan HUSSAIN, Ilham Ibrahim MOHAMMAD, Peyman KARAMPOUR

期刊论文

Predicting lateral displacement caused by seismic liquefaction and performing parametric sensitivityanalysis: Considering cumulative absolute velocity and fine content

Nima PIRHADI, Xiaowei TANG, Qing YANG, Afshin ASADI, Hazem Samih MOHAMED

期刊论文

Sensitivity analysis of the deterioration of concrete strength in marine environment to multiple corrosive

期刊论文

Novel decoupled framework for reliability-based design optimization of structures using a robust shifting

Mohammad Reza GHASEMI, Charles V. CAMP, Babak DIZANGIAN

期刊论文